Author Archives: T.C. Kelly

About T.C. Kelly

Prior to his retirement, T.C. Kelly handled litigation and appeals in state and federal courts across the Midwest. He focused his practice on criminal defense, personal injury, and employment law. He now writes about legal issues for a variety of publications.

Hamburger

New Hampshire Supreme Court Affirms Admission of Expert Testimony Regarding Cause of Salmonella Infection

Brandon Stachulski sued the owner of an Applebee’s restaurant in New Hampshire, alleging that he contracted salmonella when he ate an Applebee’s hamburger. The Applebee’s owner argued that Stachulski could not prove that its hamburger was the source of the salmonella. The owner argued that Stachulski could have been infected by his pet lizard or other sources of salmonella bacteria.

The jury found in favor of Stachulski and awarded him $750,000 in damages. On appeal, the Applebee’s owner challenged the trial judge’s decision to admit Stachulski’s expert evidence. The New Hampshire Supreme Court ruled in favor of Stachulski and affirmed the judgment.

Expert Testimony

Dr. Seth Rosenbaum, an expert in infectious diseases, testified for Stachulski. Dr. Rosenbaum reviewed Stachulski’s medical records and noted that he was diagnosed with a non-typhodial salmonella infection. That form of salmonella is typically food-borne.

After eating the Applebee’s hamburger, Stachulski became ill within the time frame during which symptoms of a salmonella infection would typically appear. Stachulski’s brother-in-law dined with Stachulski and also ate a well-done hamburger. Stachulski and his brother-in-law became violently ill at the same time, a fact that pointed to the hamburger as a source of the illness.

Dr. Rosenbaum thought it was unlikely that Stachulski contracted salmonella from his lizard because other family members had contact with the lizard but did not become ill. Other family members also eat the same food at home that Stachulski’s wife prepares. The fact that they did not become infected tended to rule out a home-based source of infection.

Stachulski’s wife has a health condition that, in Dr. Rosenbaum’s opinion, would make her susceptible to a salmonella infection. The fact that she did not become ill strengthened the inference that Stachulski’s home could be ruled out as the source of Stachulski’s salmonella infection.

Admissibility of Expert Opinions in New Hampshire

New Hampshire follows a version of the federal Daubert test for determining the admissibility of expert evidence. To be admissible, the evidence must meet a threshold of reliability. Reliable expert opinions are based on sufficient facts or data, are the product of reliable principles and methods, and result from the reliable application of those principles and methods to the facts of the case.

The state supreme court emphasized that the New Hampshire rule is interpreted liberally in favor of the admission of expert testimony. The proponent’s burden of proving that expert testimony is admissible is “not particularly onerous.” If an expert’s testimony is well grounded, it should be tested by the adversary system of justice, just like the testimony of fact witnesses. It is improper in New Hampshire to exclude expert testimony out of fear that juries are incapable of weighing its inadequacies.

Appellate Court’s Analysis

The supreme court determined that the facts recited above were sufficient to provide a basis for Dr. Rosenbaum’s expert opinion. The court also decided that Dr. Rosenbaum reliably identified and eliminated other potential causes of the salmonella infection, leaving the meal at Applebee’s as the most likely cause. The court noted that a “differential etiology” analysis is widely accepted as a reasonable means of determining the likely cause of a disease.

The defense argued that only the methods used by public health authorities to trace a disease outbreak to a particular source should be deemed reliable, because those are the only methods that have been tested and peer-reviewed, and are the only methods known to have low error rates. The fact that other or arguably superior methodologies exist, however, did not render Dr. Rosenbaum’s methodology unreliable.

The defense failed to establish that Dr. Rosenbaum’s methodology was likely to lead to an inaccurate result. The appellate court therefore deferred to the trial court’s conclusion that the methodology met the threshold standard for reliability. It was up to the jury to decide whether the defense attacks upon the methodology undermined the conclusions that Dr. Rosenbaum drew.

Finally, the defense complained that Dr. Rosenbaum had no basis for believing that the health condition of Stachulski’s wife made her more susceptible to a salmonella infection. Dr. Rosenbaum candidly admitted that he had no way of quantifying how much more susceptible to infection Stachulski’s wife might have been because of her condition. Even if that aspect of Dr. Rosenbaum’s methodology was questionable, Dr. Rosenbaum’s admission concerning the limits of his analysis minimized any prejudicial impact the testimony could have had.

Placing Trust in Juries

In the end, the court decided that Dr. Rosenbaum’s testimony had a reliable basis. The testimony may not have been perfect, but the law does not require perfection. To the extent that Dr. Rosenbaum’s testimony had weaknesses, the purpose of cross-examination is to expose those weaknesses.

After expert testimony is tested by cross-examination, the jury’s job is to weigh its strengths and weaknesses. Juries are the ultimate judges of the facts in our civil justice system and there is little reason to believe that they are less capable than judges of evaluating expert testimony. Because Dr. Rosenbaum’s testimony satisfied a threshold of reliability, it was up to the jury to decide whether his testimony proved that Stachulski’s disease was caused by eating an Applebee’s hamburger.

 

social media facebook

Sixth Circuit Rejects Expert Testimony About How Criminals Use Facebook

Malik Farrad was convicted of a felony and thus was subject to a federal law that prohibits individuals with felony convictions from possessing firearms or ammunition. After Farrad served his sentence, the police in Johnson City, Tennessee received reports that Farrad had been seen in possession of guns.

To further the investigation of those rumors, a Johnson City police officer sent Farrad a “friend” request on Facebook. Farrad accepted the request, giving the officer the opportunity to view the postings that Farrad made available to Facebook friends. The officer saw a photograph that appeared to show three handguns “sitting on a closed toilet lid in a bathroom.”

On the strength of that photograph, the police applied for and received a warrant that directed Facebook to release all information associated with Farrad’s Facebook page. Facebook released additional photographs to the police, including some pictures showing “a person who looks like Farrad holding what appears to be a gun.” Farrad’s identification was assisted by tattoos that are visible in the pictures.

Farrad’s Trial

Farrad was arrested for being a felon in possession of firearms. No witness who testified in his trial actually saw Farrad with a gun. The police produced no gun at the trial. The prosecution’s evidence consisted largely of the photographs and the inferences that the photographs were taken after Farrad was convicted as a felon, that Farrad is the person in the photographs, and that the gun he is holding in the picture is real.

Testimony during the trial revealed that Facebook strips metadata from posted photographs, making it impossible to access that data to determine the date and time that a photograph was taken. However, a police officer testified that the background of the photographs matched an apartment that Farrad occupied, and the property manager testified that Farrad began his occupancy in February 2013, after he was convicted of a felony.

Farrad objected to admission of the photographs as hearsay. The prosecution countered that they were admissible as business records maintained by Facebook. Farrad then objected that Facebook could not authenticate the photographs because Facebook did not know who took the photographs or when or where they were taken. The trial court overruled that objection and admitted the photographs into evidence.

Expert Testimony

Officer Hinkle, who worked as the police department’s armorer, testified as a weapons identification expert. He testified that the gun shown in the photographs was a Springfield XD .45 caliber handgun. The officer expressed the opinion that the gun was real based on markings and other details that were consistent with a real gun. Hinkle searched the marketplace for a replica of a Springfield XD .45 but could not find one.

To supplement evidence that seems a bit weak on its face, the prosecutor used the presumed social media expertise of Officer Garrison, the police officer who “friended” Farrad. Garrison was asked to testify “in his capacity as an experienced user of social media in the service of police investigations.” In that capacity, and based on his “training and experience,” Garrison testified that criminals usually upload photographs to their social media accounts soon after the criminal conduct occurs (“Generally, in my experience, it’s been more of a — you know, like I say, it can be instantaneous. But it is more of a present-type of thing.”).

When asked why criminals post evidence of crimes to social media, Garrison testified that criminals “like to brag about their — their activities, they’re proud of it, and just like anyone, they want to let their friends know what they’re doing, let their friends know, you know, where they’re at, what’s going on.”

Garrison then testified that, in his experience, the camera app on a cellphone makes it more likely for someone who takes a picture on a cellphone to upload the picture immediately to social media. He thought it would be “rare” for a criminal to wait a substantial period of time before posting evidence of a crime to a social media site.

When asked to identify the criminals who, in his experience, admitted to taking pictures of criminal activity and posting those pictures to a social media site, Garrison testified that he couldn’t think of a “specific instance.” Nor could he identify any specific training that informed his opinion. None of that dissuaded the judge from admitting the testimony based on the officer’s supposed training and experience.

Postconviction Motion

The jury found Farrad guilty and the judge sentenced him to more than 15 years in prison. Farrad later filed a motion for a new trial based on his discovery of website pages showing that Ring Manufacturing sells a replica of a Springfield XD .45. Farrad alleged that the prosecution’s expert testified falsely that no fake versions of the weapon are available in the marketplace.

The judge denied the motion, determining that Farrad presented no evidence that its expert officer deliberately lied. The judge may have believed that the officer conducted a search of the marketplace but that the search was less than thorough, making the expert incompetent but not dishonest.

More importantly, the judge concluded that evidence of the replica firearm would have made no difference because the replica shown on the web pages is bright blue to prevent it from being mistaken for an actual weapon. The replica therefore could not be the weapon shown in the photographs that appeared on Farrad’s Facebook page.

Appellate Opinion

The appellate court easily found that Officer Hinkle’s expert testimony was admissible. Hinkle’s training and experience qualified him as a firearms expert. He had a reasonable basis for identifying the gun in the Facebook photographs and for rendering the opinion that the gun was real.

The court came to the opposite conclusion with regard to Officer Garrison. The court concluded that Garrison testified as an expert, given that he was asked to express opinions based on his training and experience.

Moreover, the prosecution presented him to the jury as an expert in a “niche area of social-media activity: how criminals behave on social media.” Since the prosecution presented that body of knowledge as falling “beyond the ken of an average juror,” Garrison’s testimony was subject to the admissibility rules that apply to expert witnesses.

The appellate court decided that Garrison was unqualified to render the opinions he offered and that the opinions were not reliable. To be qualified to opine about the social media habits of criminals, Garrison needed to have special knowledge of the topic.

While the government made a show of Garrison’s training and experience as a police officer who was familiar with Facebook, Garrison admitted that he had never talked to a criminal about Facebook usage. Nor could he recall any training relevant to the use of Facebook by criminals, although he claimed to have chatted with other officers about the topic.

Garrison’s opinions were unreliable because they were not based on adequate data. He could not offer even anecdotal support for his opinions. Nor were his opinions based on a methodology, much less one that was reliable. The court concluded that the common perception of police officers as experts on crime must give way to the demand that expertise be demonstrated, not assumed. In any event, there is no reason to believe that police officers who have not formally studied the subject are experts in the social media habits of criminals.

Conviction Affirmed

The court concluded that Garrison’s testimony should not have been admitted. In the end, however, the court decided that his testimony wasn’t important to the conviction.

Garrison’s testimony was presented to prove that the photograph was uploaded soon after it was taken, but Farrad’s lawyer did not argue that the photograph was taken before Farrad was convicted. That might have been an error on the lawyer’s part, but that is not the kind of error that can be raised in a direct appeal in federal court. Farrad’s conviction was therefore affirmed despite the trial court’s error in treating a police officer as an expert witness regarding the Facebook habits of criminals.

Patent law

Federal Court Grants a Daubert Motion and Denies Another in a Trademark Infringement Lawsuit

Through two Florida business entities, Superior Consulting Services, Inc. markets a blood-testing service to consumers that includes the creation of a “Healthprint” profile. Superior trademarked the term “Healthprint” to identify a profile that is “customized to a client’s unique biochemistry.” Superior markets the profile as assisting in the early detection of disease. Superior also provides nutritional advice to consumers who purchase a profile.

Shaklee Corporation applied for a trademark for “Healthprint” to identify a free, online survey that results in a recommendation for Shaklee’s nutrition supplements and related products. The recommendation purports to be tailored to a customer’s health goals, needs, and budget.

Superior sued Shaklee in federal court for trademark infringement and for violating a Florida law that prohibits deceptive trade practices. Both parties wanted to use expert witnesses at trial, and each party filed a Daubert motion to exclude the other’s expert.

Survey Evidence

Both experts offered opinions as to whether consumers are likely to confuse Shaklee’s use of “Healthprint” with Superior’s use of “Healthprint.” Both experts relied on survey evidence. The court’s Daubert analysis therefore focused on the methodologies the experts used to arrive at their diametrically different results.

Shaklee’s expert, Hal Poret, showed survey participants the Shaklee website displaying its “Healthprint” mark and the Superior website displaying its “Healthprint” mark. The survey then asked questions that were designed to determine whether the consumers were confused about whether the marks related to the same or different companies. Poret also used a control group that was shown the term “Healthstamp” instead of “Healthprint” as a safeguard against false positives.

Superior’s expert, Kirk Martenson, showed the word “Healthprint” to consumers in a plain font and described the services offered by Superior. He then asked questions designed to determine whether participants perceived the Healthprint name or services as relating to one or two companies. Martenson used no control group.

Both surveys purported to be versions of the Squirt test, which courts generally accept as a means of proving that similar trademarks are or are not confusing to consumers. The Squirt test typically places marks as they appear on products side by side and asks questions to determine whether their similar marks cause consumers to become confused about the source of each product.

Martenson’s survey found that the two uses of “Healthprint” were very likely to cause consumer confusion. Poret’s survey found little likelihood of confusion.

Martenson’s Flawed Methodology

The court faulted Martenson for designing a survey that failed to display the competing “Healthprint” terms to consumers in the context in which they were used. The court concluded that Martenson’s methodology was unreliable because it did not meet the basic standards of a Squirt survey: displaying two marks as they are actually used in the marketplace side by side to test whether they confuse consumers.

By asking questions about the term “Healthprint” without providing the context in which Superior and Shaklee used the term, the survey divorced the test from the real world. For example, customers were asked whether they thought the term “Healthprint” came from one company, two companies, or no company at all. The relevant question is not whether consumers are able to guess at the origin of a mark but whether they are confused, when they see two marks, about whether both marks are associated with the same product or service.

In addition, while Martenson found that consumers were confused as to the origin of the generic term “Healthprint,” the absence of a control group made it impossible to determine the cause of their confusion. Martenson contended that he was testing for the presence, not the cause, of confusion, but it is the cause of confusion that is relevant to a trademark infringement claim. If consumers are confused for reasons that have nothing to do with an allegedly infringing mark, their confusion is immaterial.

Finally, when Martenson’s survey described the service with which “Healthprint” is associated, it described only Superior’s service. It did not describe Shaklee’s. The court noted that a survey respondent “can only compare and contrast two services if they are given two services to compare and contrast.” If participants concluded that the term was associated with one service rather than two (which Martenson interpreted as a confusing association of the mark with a single service rather than two distinct services), the court deemed that conclusion to be compelled by survey questions that described only one service.

The court decided that Martenson’s methodology was “fatally flawed.” It therefore granted the Daubert motion and excluded Martenson’s testimony at trial.

Poret’s Reasonable Methodology

Superior complained that Poret only surveyed consumers who would consider using blood-test services to analyze nutritional needs. The court rejected the argument that Poret should also have surveyed consumers who might want a nutritional analysis without taking a blood test. While Superior occasionally offers nutritional advice without a blood test, it does not actively market those services using the “Healthprint” mark, so it was reasonable for Poret to exclude those consumers from his survey.

Superior also complained that Poret surveyed consumers who are at least 21 years old, while most of Superior’s customers are over the age of 50. Since Superior markets its services to all adults, however, Poret’s methodology was reasonable.

Superior complained that Poret showed survey participants a brochure that reproduced its website pages rather than showing them the actual website. That methodology was reasonable because it provided participants with the website content while assuring that each participant saw the same materials.

Finally, Superior complained that Poret showed participants the nutrition-related questions that Shaklee’s website asks but did not show them the questions that Superior’s website asks. Superior’s questions, unlike Shaklee’s, are included in the company’s order form. Showing the order form to participants would have underscored the fact that Superior’s services are much costlier than Shaklee’s and would have decreased the likelihood of finding consumer confusion. The decision not to show Superior’s order form to participants did not prejudice Superior and did not undermine the reliability of Poret’s methodology.

Having rejected all Superior’s challenges, the court denied its Daubert motion. The decision highlights the importance of using reliable survey methods when basing a patent infringement lawsuit on an expert’s opinion about the likelihood of consumer confusion.

Timesheet

Ninth Circuit Declines to Rehear Case that Asks Whether Admissible Expert Evidence Is Required to Support Class Certification

Does expert evidence need to be admissible at trial before a judge can base a class certification decision on the evidence? A Ninth Circuit panel said “no” while a divided court recently declined to review the panel’s decision en banc.

Facts of the Case

Two registered nurses (“RNs”) filed a class action complaint against their former employer, Corona Regional Medical Center, alleging that Corona violated California wage laws in several ways, including the failure to pay wages for all hours worked, to pay overtime wages or all overtime hours worked, to provide RNs with off-duty meal and rest periods, to pay timely wages upon the termination of employment, and to provide accurate wage statements.

The RNs filed their lawsuit in state court. Corona removed it to federal court. The RNs asked the federal district court to certify subclasses as to each category of wage violation. The court denied that motion on several grounds, including its determination that the RNs’ financial injuries were not typical of those suffered by class members. In reaching that decision, the court decided that certain expert evidence offered by the plaintiffs was not admissible under federal law, and that the plaintiffs therefore failed to demonstrate any injury at all.

The RNs appealed. The Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit reversed the district court’s order. The court based its ruling in part on the conclusion that the RNs were entitled to rely on evidence to demonstrate typicality that would not be admissible at trial.

Expert Evidence

To establish the typicality of their injuries, the RNs submitted a declaration prepared by a paralegal employed by their law firm. The paralegal reviewed payroll records and determined that Corona “rounded” the time shown on time cards to the nearest quarter hour.

Using a sampling of timesheets, the paralegal compared the time for which Corona paid its employees to the time they actually worked, as recorded on time cards. The paralegal concluded that over hundreds of shifts, Corona’s rounding practice undercounted one RN’s time by eight minutes per shift and undercounted the other RN’s time by six minutes per shift.

The RNs did not submit declarations until after Corona challenged the paralegal’s declaration. Nor did the RNs have a payroll expert or statistician prepare the analysis on which they relied. Had their counsel taken those steps, the legal issues raised on appeal would likely have been avoided.

The district court concluded that the paralegal’s analysis was not admissible because:

  • the paralegal was a lay witness who had no personal knowledge of the data that he analyzed;
  • the opinions that the paralegal offered were “technical” and “specialized” and thus could only be offered by an expert witness; and
  • the paralegal was not qualified to provide expert testimony.

Since the paralegal’s analysis was based on the kind of arithmetic a high school graduate should be competent to perform, the district court’s conclusion that the paralegal’s opinions were based on “technical” or “specialized” knowledge is doubtful. The larger question, however, is whether evidence of typicality must be admissible at trial before it can satisfy the requirements of class certification.

Evidence Required for Class Certification

Class certification decisions require the district court to analyze facts. The Ninth Circuit cautioned that the analysis does not require a “mini-trial.” A trial determines the merits of claims asserted by plaintiffs. Courts decide whether to certify a class without deciding the merits of class claims.

Accordingly, the appellate court deemed it a matter of common sense that the “formal strictures” of a trial, including the rules of evidence, should not necessarily constrain the court’s determination of whether the facts support bringing the case to trial as a class action. “Inadmissibility alone,” the court held, “is not a proper basis to reject evidence submitted in support of class certification.”

The court acknowledged that the Fifth Circuit requires all evidence in support of class certification to be admissible, while the Third and Seventh Circuits require expert evidence to be admissible. The Eighth Circuit, on the other hand, noted that the limited decision to certify (or not) a class is a preliminary determination made early in the case, usually before the conclusion of merits discovery. For that reason,the Eighth Circuit allows courts to rely on evidence to certify a class that might not be admissible to prove the merits of a claim.

Since evidentiary uncertainty is inevitable at the certification stage and since a class can always be decertified later, the Ninth Circuit agreed with the Eighth Circuit that the Daubert standard applies to the evaluation of evidence proving the merits of a case, not to the preliminary decision to certify a class.

Formalism v. Justice

At least as applied to the facts of this case, the decision was in fact based on common sense. The paralegal’s statistical analysis may not have satisfied Daubert  because it was not accompanied by an explanation of the methods used to extract data, but it is fair to assume that the methodology would be fairly obvious to anyone who examined the spreadsheets that the paralegal created from the payroll data. If data was cherry-picked, one would expect the defense to point that out by submitting its own analysis using a different sampling of the data.

The appellate court concluded that the district court’s reliance on “formalistic evidentiary objections” prevented it from considering evidence that “likely could have been presented in an admissible form at trial.” For example, the plaintiffs responded to Corona’s objections by presenting declarations that authenticated the payroll data — the accuracy of which Corona never challenged — but the district court rejected the declarations as “new evidence.” The only thing new, however, was the authentication of the payroll data, not the payroll data itself.

The appellate court noted that the district court’s “narrow approach” told it nothing about whether the typicality requirement was actually satisfied, and thus prevented the court from determining whether allegations about Corona’s violation of California wage laws should most efficiently be resolved in a class action. In essence, the district court elevated evidentiary formalities over justice.

Using a paralegal to crunch data was not an ideal way to present evidence to the court. Still, the plaintiffs were certainly capable of giving admissible testimony that “we weren’t paid for all the hours we worked,” which is all it would have taken to demonstrate that they — and employees like them — were harmed by wage violations. That they did so only after Corona challenged the admissibility of the payroll analysis they presented hardly seems like a sufficient justification to deny an entire class of employees the opportunity to prove that Corona cheated them out of the full wages they earned.

Lessons Learned

The Ninth Circuit recently denied a petition to rehear the appeal en banc (that is, to have the entire court consider the issue), but five judges dissented from the denial. The dissenting judges believed that circuit precedent, the prevailing view in other circuits, and “the Supreme Court’s clear guidance” compel the conclusion that expert evidence must pass the Daubert test of admissibility before it can be considered in support of a certification motion.

The dissenters were incredulous that the other judges were willing to accept the calculations of a mere paralegal, whether or not the calculations were probably correct. The dissenters devote a footnote to their assumption that the paralegal’s simple arithmetic had to be supported by expert testimony, despite ample precedent for the proposition that arithmetical calculations that most reasonably intelligent people could make, and that most jurors could understand, need not be made by experts.

The Ninth Circuit’s decision results in an apparent circuit split that may be resolved by the Supreme Court if Corona petitions for review. In the meantime, prudent attorneys who need to present statistical evidence in support of certification motions would be well advised to hire a payroll expert, an accountant, or a statistician to derive conclusions from payroll records or other data compilations. Whether or not an expert is strictly necessary (and in some circuits, an expert’s testimony is vital), employing the services of an expert in a wage claim should significantly improve the odds that a court will certify a class.

Fertilizer Plant

Appellate Court Affirms Exclusion of Toxicologist’s Opinion Linking Respiratory Disease to Pollutants from Fertilizer Plant

Rhonda Williams sued Mosaic Fertilizer, claiming that her lung diseases and other health conditions were related to toxic substances emitted by Mosaic’s plant. Mosaic made a Daubert motion to exclude the expert testimony that linked Williams’ health problems to Mosaic’s emissions. A federal district court granted the motion and the Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuit affirmed its decision on appeal.

Williams’ Claim

Williams has lived her whole life in Tampa, about three miles from a Mosaic factory. She alleged that Mosaic uses a number of toxic chemicals in its manufacturing process. She further alleged that Mosaic produces toxic emissions, including arsenic, cadmium, chromium, lead, manganese, nickel, phosphorous, and zinc.

Government agencies have found that sulfur dioxide in their air near Mosaic’s plant exceeded national and state standards. Measurements of particulate matter (inhalable particles that are 10 micrometers or smaller) exceeded the national standard in Williams’ neighborhood. Particulate matter is a respiratory irritant.

Williams’ lung-related health problems included pulmonary hypertension, obstructive pulmonary disease, asthma, and lower lung scarring. She also attributed her fatigue, abdominal pain, and diabetes to the pollutants or to the side effects of treating her lung conditions.

Expert Evidence

To prove that her health conditions were caused by Mosaic’s pollution, Williams relied on the expert opinion of Dr. Franklin Mink, a toxicologist. Dr. Mink opined that Williams had been exposed to a lifetime of pollutants and hazardous materials generated from Mosaic’s operations, including mining, processing, storage, transportation, and waste handling. Mink also concluded that Williams developed adverse health effects from her exposure to those pollutants and materials, and from the therapeutic agents used to treat those diseases.

Dr. Mink appended a list of sources to his report that included environmental studies and regulatory documents. However, he did not make specific references in his report to the cited sources that supported each of his conclusions. One lesson to learn from this case is that experts should carefully cite the specific sources they rely upon in support of each fact or opinion stated in an expert report.

In granting Mosaic’s Daubert motion, the trial court concluded that Dr. Mink failed to address “the hallmark of the science of toxic torts — the dose-response relationship.” The dose-response relationship is a means of proving that a toxic substance caused a particular health outcome by demonstrating that increasing exposure to the substance correlates with an increased risk that the outcome will occur.

The trial court also faulted Dr. Mink’s methodology because he:

  • “unjustifiably” relied on regulatory standards to determine the dose that would cause harm to health;
  • inferred facts from studies that contradicted his conclusions;
  • failed to consider background risks for Williams’ conditions;
  • failed to rule out other potential causes for Williams’ conditions; and
  • speculated about Williams’ exposure to the toxic substances.

Since the court deemed Dr. Mink’s methodology to be unreliable, the court concluded that his opinions were inadmissible.

Causation Standards

Without deciding whether Williams failed to prove general causation (in other words, to prove that the pollutants emitted by Mosaic are capable of causing the harmful health conditions from which Williams suffered), the Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuit agreed that Williams failed to demonstrate specific causation. To establish that her health conditions actually were caused by Mosaic’s toxic discharges, Williams needed to establish a level of exposure that was necessary to produce those effects, and to prove that Williams was exposed to that level. The court concluded that her expert’s failure to do so was fatal to her proof of specific causation.

Dr. Mink did not independently measure the level of pollutants in Williams’ environment, but relied on academic studies measuring the ambient concentration of air pollutants in Williams’ neighborhood. He also relied on Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) air quality standards to determine the threshold exposure to those pollutants that could produce Williams’ health problems.

The court of appeals concluded that Dr. Mink’s analysis was “methodologically problematic,” in part because one of the studies upon which he relied concluded that the concentration of pollutants emitted by fertilizer plants in the Tampa Bay area was below the level that would present a health risk to the public. Dr. Mink explained that he relied on the study’s data, not on its conclusions, but the court of appeals held that Dr. Mink never “clearly explained” until after his opinion was deemed inadmissible why he disagreed with the study authors’ conclusions.

Unfortunately, the appellate opinion does not tell the reader what explanation Dr. Mink gave that prompted the district court’s ruling, making it impossible for the reader to evaluate the clarity of that explanation. Nor does the opinion explain why Dr. Mink was less qualified to draw opinions from the data than the authors of the study.

The court also faulted Dr. Mink for relying on EPA standards to establish causation. The court noted that regulatory standards are protective, in that they might build in a “cushion” to protect sensitive people from exposures that would not adversely affect most people. According to the court, relying on EPA standards is a poor methodology because the standards, unlike the dose-response relationship, cannot predict how many people will be affected by a particular level of contamination.

The court rejected the argument that the EPA standards are, in fact, based on the dose-response relationship. The court noted that EPA cautions that its data cannot predict future risk with precision. Yet the burden in a civil case is not to prove facts with precision, but to prove that they are more likely than not true. While the court stated that it does not require experts to produce “precise numbers,” it faulted the expert’s methodology because the methodology was not based on precise numbers.

Toxic tort cases have become monstrously difficult to prove because appellate courts have set the bar for expert testimony so high that, without investing huge sums of money to establish precise dose-response relationships, experts are unable to use the “exacting” methodologies that industry-friendly judges believe Daubert requires. The unfortunate result is that jurors never get a chance to apply the less-than-exacting civil burden of proof to decide whether a company’s pollution probably caused a plaintiff’s injury. Whether that’s good or bad depends on how judges and legislators balance a company’s interest in being shielded from judgments against society’s interest in compensating victims of toxic torts.

Other Potential Causes of Harm

Finally, the court faulted Dr. Mink for failing to rule out other potential causes of Williams’ health conditions, such as “obesity, allergies, lifestyle, exposure to secondhand smoke, or possible genetic predisposition.” Dr. Mink testified that the probability of those factors causing Williams’ health condition was low.  The court faulted that testimony because it was unsupported by “probability studies.” That complaint arguably goes to Dr. Mink’s credibility. If Dr. Mink was testifying based on his knowledge and experience, whether he can cite supportive probability studies is an issue that could be explored on cross-examination to attack his credibility.

Credibility is generally for the jury to determine. While the court held that “[t]he law does not require the District Court to take [the expert] at his word,” the law does allow juries to do so by assigning credibility determinations to juries rather than judges. In addition, the district court declined to hold a Daubert hearing and thus gave Dr. Mink no opportunity to discuss probability studies that he did not mention (and apparently was not asked about) during his deposition.

Different courts view the elusive border between credibility and the “reasonableness” of testimony in very different ways. This case is a further example of the importance of having experts prepare reports that document every single fact upon which the expert relies in forming an opinion, even if the fact seems blindingly obvious to the expert.

hypnotic

Hypnosis Experts Challenged in Texas

Everyone agrees that expert evidence should be reliable. Judges have historically determined whether an expert is qualified to render a specialized opinion, and if so, whether the expert’s opinion is based on something more substantial than conjecture.

Some version of the Daubert standard for determining the admissibility of expert testimony now prevails in most states. That standard gives judges a greater role in deciding whether expert testimony is based on a reliable methodology.

Reliability standards have tended to be more stringent in civil cases because the insurance industry and business lobbyists have campaigned for admissibility standards that serve their interests by excluding expert testimony that might convince a jury of a corporate defendant’s liability. Reliability standards have tended to be more lax in criminal cases because prosecutors have advocated standards that serve their interests in obtaining convictions. The different approaches to reliability in civil and criminal cases make it easier for “junk science” to be admitted in criminal trials, as the President’s Council of Advisors on Science and Technology made clear in 2016.

Sometimes experts who do not testify influence the testimony of other witnesses. In those cases, the question of reliability becomes more difficult for courts to assess. Testimony that is “refreshed” by hypnosis is an example of an expert’s use of a methodology that may cause juries to hear unreliable testimony.

Hypnotically Refreshed Recollection

Charles Flores and Richard Childs were charged with murdering a 64-year-old woman who was unexpectedly at home when they burglarized her house. The murder was committed in 1998. Childs made a deal and was sentenced to 35 years in prison. He was released after serving 17 years.

Flores was found guilty in a trial and was sentenced to death. When Childs entered his guilty plea, he admitted that he killed the victim, but a jury found Flores guilty because of evidence that he participated in the robbery that ended in the victim’s death. Allowing the killer to go free after 17 years while the non-killer is sentenced to death is an outcome that causes people to wonder what is wrong with the criminal justice system.

Two witnesses testified that Flores admitted to being at the crime scene. A third witness testified that she smoked methamphetamine with Flores and Childs before telling them that there was money hidden in the victim’s home.

The only eyewitness who placed Flores at the crime scene testified after her memory was hypnotically “refreshed.” Before being hypnotized, she could only recall seeing two men get out of a Volkswagen and enter the victim’s home at about the time the murder was committed. She couldn’t make an identification because she only glimpsed the men while peeking through the blinds shortly before sunrise.

Other neighbors saw two white men leave the Volkswagen. They described the men as having a medium build and long hair. Flores is Hispanic, obese, and had short hair at the time the crime was committed.

After being hypnotized, the neighbor who testified was suddenly able to identify Flores as being one of the men. Was her recollection hypnotically refreshed, or did the hypnosis influence her identification?

The witness was hypnotized by a police officer. She was the first and only person he ever hypnotized. Even if hypnosis might refresh a memory without changing it, there is reason to question whether a police officer who is not an experienced hypnotist is the kind of expert who can produce a reliable result.

Hypnosis Challenged as “Junk Science”

Flores was scheduled to be executed, but he received a stay so that he could challenge the reliability of memories that are refreshed through hypnosis. He may have an uphill battle, given that Texas appellate courts have twice upheld hypnosis as a forensic tool, while purporting to place safeguards on its use.

It may be time for Texas to reexamine those precedents. More than half of all states have deemed hypnosis to be “junk science” and have banned testimony that would not have been given in the absence of hypnosis. The modern trend, based on new research into how memories are formed and stored, has rejected the reliability of hypnosis as a tool for producing accurate memories.

Studies have found that hypnosis does not help people recall events more accurately. Instead, it makes people more confident of their memories, whether or not the memories are correct. In fact, studies suggest that hypnosis converts guesses and hunches into statements of absolute fact.

Studies have also demonstrated the risk that questioning under hypnosis will implant false memories. That risk is particularly concerning when the hypnotist is a law enforcement officer rather than a neutral expert.

In states that allow testimony based on hypnotically refreshed memories, it is imperative for defendants to call an expert witness who can explain to the jury why hypnosis is not a reliable means of producing accurate memories. If Flores loses his challenge, he may one day be executed because his lawyers failed to present critical expert testimony to the jury.

Gun

Firearms Instructor Not Permitted to Testify as Expert Witness

Carlos Jones was convicted of second degree murder for causing the death of his wife, Tabatha Smith. Jones testified that he woke up in the morning and got out of bed to check on the children. When he returned to the bedroom, his wife rolled over onto the gun he kept beneath his pillow. She said, “You and this gun” in an apparent reference to the discomfort it caused.

Jones testified that he removed the gun from beneath the pillow and assured Smith that it was not loaded. He put the gun in the back pocket of his jeans, but it fell through a hole and landed on the floor. He testified that when he picked it up, the gun fired two or three times. His wife said, “I told you.”

Jones could not say exactly how the gun fired, but testified that the shooting was accidental. He said he did not aim the gun and did not recall pulling the trigger.

When he realized that his wife had been shot, Jones rushed her to the hospital. She was still conscious at that point, but did not answer the questions posed to her by police investigators.

Jones spoke to an acquaintance at the hospital. He allegedly stated the gun had a hair trigger, that the trigger “stuck,” and that it fired multiple times.

At some later time, the police attempted to question Smith again, but she could not speak. When an investigator asked her whether Jones shot her, she lifted her hand slightly.

Smith died after fifteen days in the hospital. She was struck by two bullets, one of which damaged her jugular vein and struck the vertebrae in the back of her neck.

Prosecution Expert

Carl Fullilove, who is identified in the appellate opinion only as a “forensic scientist,” testified that he tested Jones’ gun to determine whether it would misfire. Fullilove was unable to make the gun fire without pulling the trigger, even after striking it with a rawhide hammer. Fullilove opined that it was necessary to pull the trigger once per shot to make the gun fire.

Defense Expert

Consumers of the news might recall the FBI agent whose gun fell out of his pocket while he was dancing. A video captures the gun firing accidentally as the FBI agent picked it up. That gun, however, fired only once. Jones’ problem was convincing the jury that he accidentally shot his wife twice.

The defense attempted to overcome that problem by calling Darrell Carey, a firearms instructor, as an expert witness. The trial court refused to admit him as an expert witness because his testimony was not “based on sufficient facts or data” or “based on reliable principles and methods.” The judge noted that Carey had not produced any written documentation or publication, and that “his testimony was strongly weighted or heavily weighted toward firearm shooting and not the mechanics of the firearm itself, i.e., the assembling, disassembling, [or] the methodology of how it operates.”

It isn’t clear why the judge thought that hitting the gun with a “rawhide hammer,” the methodology used by the prosecution expert, was any more reliable than Carey’s methodology. Nor is it clear why the assembling or disassembling of the gun is important in a case that did not involve taking a gun apart. The relevant question was whether the gun would fire accidentally, not how the gun operates.

The judge allowed Carey to testify about his personal observations as a lay witness. Carey testified that he was able to recreate an accidental discharge of the gun, as was shown on a video recording that was admitted into evidence. He found that by picking up the gun with a finger on the trigger, the weight of the gun against his hand could cause the gun to fire in quick succession.

Carey testified that the heavy weight of the slide caused the gun to bump against his trigger finger. He testified that one time the gun fired twice, and another time the gun fired three times, without consciously pulling the trigger.

Expert’s Qualifications

The Mississippi Court of Appeals affirmed the trial court’s decision not to allow Carey to provide expert testimony. The court noted that Carey did not hold an engineering degree and had never published any scholarly articles, although the relevance of that observation is doubtful.

Like most states, Mississippi law specifically allows an expert to base testimony on “technical, or other specialized knowledge,” which can be acquired from experience rather than academic training. Mechanics routinely testify as experts on the vehicle engines and parts, but few mechanics have published academic articles about their knowledge. The fact that Carey was not an engineer went to his credibility, not to his qualifications as an expert.

The appellate court also agreed with the trial court that Carey was unable to testify about the mechanics of a gun. Again, his testimony might have been stronger if he had measured the amount of pressure that was required to pull the trigger, but as someone who teaches firearm operation, Carey plainly had more knowledge of how firearms fire and misfire than a lay person.

The fact that he could not testify about handgun engineering went to Carey’s credibility, but he was plainly qualified to testify about handgun operation. Since the question was whether the firing mechanism was operated intentionally or accidentally, Carey was qualified to give the jury a helpful opinion based on knowledge that most jurors would not have.

Expert vs. Lay Testimony

Finally, the appellate court noted that Carey’s testimony “was largely contingent upon his own personal observations of the handgun’s functionality, in light of Jones’s theory of defense.” The relevance of that observation is unclear.

Any expert who performs tests and testifies about the result is relying on his or her personal observations. Carey tested the gun and explained the results of the tests to the jury. That’s what experts do. It is the expert’s experience in interpreting observations, not the fact that testimony is based on observations, that distinguishes expert from lay testimony.

While the court’s analysis is far from convincing, it isn’t clear that Carey would have testified any differently if the court had allowed him to testify as an expert. Nor is it clear whether the jury would have viewed his testimony in a different light if the court had identified him as an expert rather than a lay witness. The trial court’s error might have been harmless, but that is a question the appellate court did not address.

Pills

Appellate Court Upholds Admission of DRE Testimony

The North Carolina Court of Appeals ruled that a trial court did not err by admitting expert testimony from a drug recognition expert (DRE) in an impaired driving trial. Usually, a DRE provides probable cause to justify an arrest, while a subsequent blood test establishes that the defendant had consumed a controlled substance.

In most cases, a jury infers impairment from drug consumption, bad driving, and other indicia of intoxication. Whether a DRE should be allowed to offer an expert opinion as to impairment is, at best, a controversial issue. When a court allows a DRE to testify, defense attorneys should be prepared to counter the testimony with experts of their own.

Facts of the Case

Stacie Fincher uses prescription medications to control her bipolar disorder. During the early morning hours of February 10, 2015, she took another prescription medication, Xanax, to help her sleep.

Stacie drove to her doctor’s office for a follow-up examination related to her ankle surgery. She then drove to a pharmacy to pick up a prescription. She was in a fast food drive-thru lane when her foot slipped off the brake and she rear-ended another car.

Two Asheville police officers who responded to the scene testified (as officers invariably do when they make an impaired driving arrest) that Stacie had glassy eyes and slurred speech. Stacie admitted that she had taken Xanax several hours earlier.

One of the officers administered field sobriety tests to Stacie, including the Horizontal Gaze Nystagmus (HGN) test. He determined that Stacie had the maximum number of points on that test, which is supposedly a sign that the test subject has a prohibited blood alcohol concentration.

Relying on shaky science, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) “validated” the HGN as a means of determining probable cause that a driver’s blood alcohol concentration exceeds 0.08{d61575bddc780c1d4ab39ab904bf25755f3b8d1434703a303cf443ba00f43fa4}. A notable fact overlooked by the court of appeals is that the NHTSA developed the HGN to detect a prohibited blood alcohol concentration, not to detect impairment from drug use.

Since Stacie was wearing an ankle boot, the officer did not have her perform the other standardized field sobriety tests, which are only valid if an individual has the ability to walk normally regardless of alcohol or drug ingestion. The officer administered a preliminary breath test and found that Stacie had consumed no alcohol.

The officer arrested Stacie for driving under the influence of drugs based on her glassy eyes, slurred speech, the HGN test, her admission to taking Xanax, and the fact that she had been in an accident. She agreed to have her blood drawn.

DRE Evidence

The arresting officer then had Officer Scott Fry, a certified DRE, perform a twelve-step evaluation of Stacie. A DRE is trained and certified by the police. A DRE completes a course that teaches the officer to administer a twelve-step drug evaluation and classification protocol that theoretically determines whether a suspect is impaired by the consumption of a drug, and to classify the drug that caused the impairment.

At Stacie’s trial, Fry testified that Stacie’s blood contained “measurable amounts” of Xanax. The fact that a “measurable amount” of a drug is present in blood, however, does not establish that a sufficient quantity of the drug was consumed to impair safe driving.

Fry also testified about his conclusions as a DRE. The defense apparently offered no expert testimony to challenge the scientific validity of drug recognition evidence.

The court instructed the jury that Xanax is an “impairing substance,” although whether an “impairing substance” has actually caused an impairment is a different question. The jury found Stacie guilty of DWI.

Appellate Opinion

In a cursory opinion, the court of appeals concluded that the DRE’s testimony was admissible, and that the evidence was sufficient to prove that Stacie was impaired by her consumption of Xanax. The opinion is not a model of judicial reasoning.

The court noted that Stacie’s eyes were red and glassy and that her speech was slurred, but pointed to no evidence that Xanax causes those side effects. The court cited Stacie’s performance on the HGN test but failed to acknowledge that no peer-reviewed scientific literature validates the HGN as evidence of impairment resulting from the consumption of Xanax.

The court also noted that Stacie rear-ended another car, but hundreds of people are involved in rear-end accidents every day, most of whom are not impaired. That leaves the DRE’s testimony as the critical evidence of Stacie’s guilt.

North Carolina law generally follows the Daubert standard, but in an apparent effort to make it easier for prosecutors to obtain DWI convictions, North Carolina does not require the same standard of reliability for DRE evidence. The state legislature apparently concluded that protecting corporations from money damages was more important than protecting individuals accused of crime from imprisonment.

A North Carolina statute allows a “witness who has received training and holds a current certification as a Drug Recognition Expert” to offer an opinion “whether the person was under the influence of one or more impairing substances, and the category of such impairing substance or substances.” The “category” into which Xanax falls is “central nervous system (CNS) depressant.”

A study shows that DRE-trained officers are able to correctly identify a test subject as being under the influence of a CNS depressant only 42{d61575bddc780c1d4ab39ab904bf25755f3b8d1434703a303cf443ba00f43fa4} of the time. It is startling that the North Carolina legislature concluded that being right less than half the time is good enough for North Carolina criminal cases.

Since the DRE who examined Stacie had a certificate, the court determined that his testimony was properly admitted. Whether his methodology was reliable, the court decided, was a question that the North Carolina legislature had already determined.

A DRE will always be a police officer testifying for the prosecution. North Carolina’s DRE law is plainly intended to allows officers who pass a class to help prosecutors obtain convictions by posing as experts, whether or not their testimony has any scientific validity.

The Importance of Defense Experts

Courts that apply more rigorous standards to DRE opinions often come to a different conclusion. For example, a Maryland trial court determined that DRE evidence is inadmissible under Maryland’s Frye standard because the methodology employed by drug recognition experts is “not generally accepted in the fields of medicine including specifically pharmacology, neurology, ophthalmology and psychiatry.”

The court concluded that acceptance of DRE evidence by NHTSA and the International Association of Chiefs of Police (IACP) should not be conflated with acceptance by a scientific community. The court noted that “NHTSA and the IACP are long-time proponents of the DRE program and have a vested interest in its acceptance and use.” The court probably realized that NHTSA has a long history of developing field tests that purport to be scientific without validating them using peer-reviewed, independent (not funded by NHTSA) scientific analysis under the conditions in which the field tests are actually employed.

The court examined four independent, double-blind studies that “conclusively show” that a DRE’s predictions of impairment based on the DRE protocol are “no better than chance.” Since no peer-reviewed studies accepted the legitimacy of the DRE protocol, and since it is so obviously biased to favor the police in making arrests, the court declined to admit DRE testimony as evidence of guilt.

Even when courts allow a police officer to testify as a DRE, defense attorneys have the opportunity to challenge that testimony. Medical experts can explain why no medical professional would make a judgment of impairment based on the DRE protocol. Experts in scientific methodology can explain why the DRE protocol should not be accepted as valid. A vigorous cross-examination of the DRE may be sufficient, but when a defendant can afford to hire an expert, the opportunity to raise a reasonable doubt about the DRE testimony increases exponentially.

Junk science has no place in a criminal trial. Whenever a police officer purports to give scientific testimony, it is critical for the defense to retain experts who can educate the jury about the difference between scientific methods that have been independently validated and result-oriented junk science that NHTSA or police agencies have developed to make it easier for the police to make arrests.

Utah

Utah Supreme Court Reverses Murder Conviction Based on Psychologist’s Opinion that Deceased Did Not Commit Suicide

Did Shannon Lopez commit suicide or was she murdered? A Utah jury convicted her husband of homicide. The Utah Supreme Court reversed the conviction, in part, because the jury may have been influenced by improper expert testimony assessing Shannon as a low risk for suicide.

Facts of the Case

Komasquin and Shannon Lopez were both familiar with guns. Komasquin served in the military and worked in law enforcement, while Shannon was a recreational shooter. They kept multiple guns in their home and one in their car.

On the night of her death, Shannon consumed toxic levels of methamphetamine. She picked up Komasquin at work. Komasquin then began driving. Komasquin told the police that they argued about Shannon’s drug use and financial problems as they drove home.

Komasquin allegedly told the police that Shannon claimed she had packed a bag and planned to take the kids to her father’s home. Komasquin testified that he was the one who threatened to leave.

As they were driving, Shannon was shot in the head. Komasquin tried to turn the car around but crashed into another car. The position of her body and of a gun that the police found in the car was disputed.

At various times in the months before she died, Shannon threated to kill herself. She did so in a conversation with her son and in a text message to Komasquin. One threat specifically referenced an intent to shoot herself.

A medical examiner, a blood splatter analyst, and a gunshot residue analyst all testified for the prosecution. None of those expert witnesses could rule out suicide as the cause of death.

Testimony of Suicide Experts

Faced with inconclusive evidence of Komasquin’s guilt, the prosecution bolstered its case with the testimony of a clinical psychologist. Dr. Craig Byran specializes in the treatment of suicidal patients. He assesses suicide risk by using the Fluid Vulnerability Theory of Suicide (FVTS).

The FVTS model assumes that certain factors (including genetic and demographic factors) create a baseline risk of suicide, and posits that certain triggering events create an acute risk that an individual will commit suicide, but only if that individual has an elevated baseline risk.

Over a defense challenge, the court allowed Bryan to testify that Shannon’s behavior prior to her death was inconsistent with the behavior of people who commit suicide. The court did not allow Bryan to testify that his opinions were definitive or based on scientific certainty.

The defense countered with expert testimony that Shannon’s death was a “classic suicide.” Komasquin appealed his conviction on the ground that Bryan’s testimony was inadmissible.

Reliability of FVTS Assessment

Utah judges must determine whether an expert is qualified to render an opinion, whether the proposed expert testimony would be helpful to the jury, and whether the expert’s opinion is based on a reliable application of reliable principles or methods to sufficient facts or data. The reliability of principles or methods can be established by their general acceptance within a relevant scientific community or by other evidence of reliability.

Apparently lacking empirical evidence that the FVTS is reliable, the prosecution attempted to prove that the FVTS has been generally accepted by psychologists as a reliable means of predicting the risk of suicide. The prosecution pointed to Bryan’s testimony that psychologists rely on the FVTS when treating patients, and that identification of risk plus treatment has been shown to reduce suicidal behaviors.

That testimony did little to establish that the FVTS reliably assesses risk. Treating a population with suicide reduction therapies is likely to reduce suicidal behaviors among those who receive the treatment, but that tells us nothing about whether untreated individuals who are identified as low risk go on to commit suicide. Nor does it tell us whether an individual who has ingested toxic levels of methamphetamine might be more inclined to commit an impulsive suicide than a sober individual, regardless of other risk factors.

If people who commit suicide would always have been assessed as “high risk” while people who do not commit suicide would always be assessed as “low risk,” the FVTS might be a valid tool for predicting future behavior. However, the prosecution pointed to no studies establishing that people who are assessed as low risk never commit suicide.

Nor did Bryan discuss peer-reviewed studies or other evidence establishing that the relevant scientific community has accepted the FVTS for any purpose other than deciding whether to treat someone by using suicide prevention strategies. As the state supreme court recognized, the relevant question in this trial was whether the FVTS correctly assesses that a deceased individual committed suicide. Proving that FVTS “is generally accepted to establish a suicide risk in living patients is not the same thing as demonstrating that it is generally accepted to gauge whether a decedent died by his or her own hand.”

Sufficiency of Data

Finally, the court noted that data used in the FVTS is gathered in clinical practice by interviewing the patient. Bryan had no opportunity to interview Shannon before she died. Nor did he explain how he could accurately assess risk factors like “mood” or “positive outlook” without interviewing Shannon.

As the court pointed out in a shocking footnote, Bryan didn’t interview anyone. He based his opinion solely on information that had been carefully selected by the prosecution to support the conclusion that prosecutors wanted Bryan to reach. That methodology falls well short of basing opinions on reliable and sufficient data.

Given the prosecution’s failure to prove that Bryan’s opinions were based on reliable methods, the supreme court had no difficulty concluding that the evidence was inadmissible. And given that other evidence of whether Shannon committed suicide was ambiguous, the court concluded that Bryan’s inadmissible opinions may have influenced the guilty verdict. The court therefore ordered a new trial.

Risk Assessment Tools and the Helpfulness of Expert Testimony

The court could just as easily have applied a “helpfulness” analysis to arrive at the same result. Unless people who are assessed as low risk on the FVTS never go on to commit suicide, FVTS results cannot help the jury determine whether a death was caused by suicide or murder. If some low risk people commit suicide, the FVTS is not a helpful means of separating murder from suicide as a cause of death.

By their nature, risk assessment tools only tell us about relative risks within a population of people. They tell us nothing about how a single individual within that population will behave. For that reason, risk assessment tools might be useful for treatment purposes but are rarely reliable evidence of how a particular individual behaved or will behave in the future.

Opioids

Expert Helps Florida Defendant Avoid Conviction of Nonexistent Crime

The Winter Springs Police Department in Seminole County, Florida arrested Christopher Toro for murder in January 2018, as the Orlando Sentinel reported. Prosecutors might have cringed at headlines that reported the subsequent dismissal of that charge after an expert witness explained why Toro’s alleged conduct was not covered by the Florida law that was then in effect.

Criminal Justice and Drug Overdoses

Like many parts of the country, Seminole County has experienced a steep increase in opioid-related deaths. Some of those deaths have been related to fentanyl, a powerful painkiller that is primarily prescribed to cancer patients. Fentanyl and similar synthetic opioids are also manufactured illicitly.

According to the Centers for Disease Control, more than 72,000 Americans died from opioid overdoses in 2017. In an effort to be perceived as attacking the problem of drug-related deaths, Seminole County prosecutors have aggressively charged alleged drug dealers with murder for supplying drugs to addicts who die from an overdose.

Prosecutors charged Toro with murder based on the allegation that he provided fentanyl to Alfonso Pagan, who apparently mixed it with heroin. While nobody forced Pagan to use those drugs, charging drug providers with murder when drug addicts overdose is a long-standing but largely ineffective strategy in the war on drugs.

Using the criminal justice system to address a public health problem has never been smart. Charging 72,000 drug suppliers (some of whom are doctors) for murder because opioid users made unwise decisions isn’t a practical way to tackle the problem of deaths caused by drug overdoses.

Devoting public resources to arrests and prosecutions rather than treatment and prevention has been counterproductive, but arrests make headlines. Arrests give public officials an easy way to show the public that they are doing something, even if they aren’t doing something helpful or smart.

Expert Explains Fentanyl to the Court

At the time Toro was charged, the Florida law permitting drug dealers to be charged with murder applied to deaths resulting from the consumption of specific drugs, including “opium or any synthetic or natural salt, compound, derivative, or preparation of opium.” Fentanyl, however, is not synthetic opium.

Fentanyl was not added to the list of drugs to which the murder statute applies until eight days after Pagan’s death. The prosecutor understood that the revised law had not taken effect, but perhaps understanding the value of a good headline, charged about a dozen defendants under the old law.

The prosecutor took the unsupportable position that the statutory reference to “opium” includes all “opioids,” apparently on the theory that different words mean the same thing if they share a root.

Toro’s public defender used the state’s own expert witness to explain the prosecution’s error. Jannet Brown, a crime analyst with the Florida Department of Law Enforcement who testifies as an expert for the state, forthrightly admitted that “fentanyl is a synthetic opioid and not made from opium.”

The prosecutor had no ready explanation for the legislature’s addition of fentanyl to the statute if fentanyl was already covered in the statute’s inclusion of opium. Courts presume that legislatures do not add needless words to statutes.

Charge Dismissed

The judge agreed with the expert, ruling that “fentanyl is not made from opium at all and essentially has nothing to do with opium.” Toro can thank the honest testimony of the state’s expert witness for saving him from being convicted of a nonexistent crime.

Similar logic will likely lead to the dismissal of other Florida murder charges involving deaths allegedly resulting from fentanyl distribution, including a charge against a man who accepted $50 to introduce a drug user to the dealer who sold her the fentanyl on which she overdosed. The theory that a “middleman” commits murder by introducing a drug user to a drug dealer would have strained even if the statute applied to fentanyl.

Whether or not making an introduction can be charged as a murder, the charge should be dismissed because fentanyl was not yet listed in the statute that applies to deaths caused by illicit drug ingestion. Expert testimony is again likely to establish that Seminole County charged a defendant with a crime that did not exist.